Where have the profits gone? Market efficiency and the disappearing equity anomalies in country and industry returns✰

dc.contributor.author Adam Zaremba
dc.contributor.author Mehmet Umutlu
dc.contributor.author Alina Maydybura
dc.contributor.author Maydybura, Alina
dc.contributor.author Zaremba, Adam
dc.contributor.author Umutlu, Mehmet
dc.date.accessioned 2025-10-06T17:50:49Z
dc.date.issued 2020
dc.description.abstract We are the first to demonstrate the decline in the cross-sectional predictability of country and industry returns in recent years. We examine 53 anomalies in country and industry indices from 64 markets for the years 1973–2018. The profitability of the strategies has significantly decreased recently driven particularly by the disappearance of value and reversal effects. The phenomenon is strongest in large developed markets. Neither changes in country- and industry-specific risks nor investor learning from the academic literature can explain the effect. Our findings support the view that the fall in return predictability is caused by the overall improvement in market efficiency. © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
dc.description.sponsorship Narodowe Centrum Nauki, NCN
dc.description.sponsorship National Science Centre of Poland [2016/23/B/HS4/00731]
dc.description.sponsorship We thank Heiko Jacobs, Gokhan Sonaer, and Charlie Cai for helpful comments that benefited the article. Any remaining errors are our own. Adam Zaremba acknowledges the support of the National Science Centre of Poland (project no. 2016/23/B/HS4/00731).
dc.description.sponsorship ✰This paper is a part of project no. 2016/23/B/HS4/00731 of the National Science Centre of Poland.
dc.identifier.doi 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2020.105966
dc.identifier.issn 03784266
dc.identifier.issn 0378-4266
dc.identifier.issn 1872-6372
dc.identifier.scopus 2-s2.0-85092238479
dc.identifier.uri https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85092238479&doi=10.1016%2Fj.jbankfin.2020.105966&partnerID=40&md5=cf4d564d1a443cc8cd4fcbf8cd9c2bd4
dc.identifier.uri https://gcris.yasar.edu.tr/handle/123456789/9134
dc.identifier.uri https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2020.105966
dc.language.iso English
dc.publisher Elsevier B.V.
dc.relation.ispartof Journal of Banking & Finance
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.source Journal of Banking and Finance
dc.subject Behavioral Finance, Country Returns, Equity Anomalies, Industry Returns, International Investment, Investor Learning, Long-run Reversal, Low-risk, Market Efficiency, Momentum, Return Predictability, Seasonality, Size, Structural Breaks, Value
dc.subject Behavioral Finance
dc.subject Momentum
dc.subject Country Returns
dc.subject Investor Learning
dc.subject International Investment
dc.subject Size
dc.subject Structural Breaks
dc.subject Equity Anomalies
dc.subject Return Predictability
dc.subject Low-risk
dc.subject Long-Run Reversal
dc.subject Industry Returns
dc.subject Value
dc.subject Seasonality
dc.subject Market Efficiency
dc.title Where have the profits gone? Market efficiency and the disappearing equity anomalies in country and industry returns✰
dc.type Article
dspace.entity.type Publication
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gdc.author.wosid Umutlu, Mehmet/IWM-3632-2023
gdc.author.wosid Zaremba, Adam/C-9298-2016
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gdc.description.department
gdc.description.departmenttemp [Zaremba, Adam] Montpellier Business Sch, Dept Financial Legal & Accounting Management, Montpellier, France; [Umutlu, Mehmet] Yasar Univ, Fac Business, Dept Int Trade & Finance, 35-37 Agacli Yol, PK-35100 Izmir, Turkey; [Maydybura, Alina] Univ Dubai, Dubai Business Sch, Dubai, U Arab Emirates; [Zaremba, Adam] Poznan Univ Econ & Business, Inst Finance, Dept Investment & Financial Markets, Poznan, Poland
gdc.description.publicationcategory Makale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
gdc.description.startpage 105966
gdc.description.volume 121
gdc.description.woscitationindex Social Science Citation Index
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gdc.oaire.sciencefields 0502 economics and business
gdc.oaire.sciencefields 05 social sciences
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gdc.opencitations.count 34
gdc.plumx.crossrefcites 36
gdc.plumx.mendeley 60
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gdc.scopus.citedcount 36
gdc.virtual.author Umutlu, Mehmet
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person.identifier.scopus-author-id Zaremba- Adam (37121242800), Umutlu- Mehmet (26535275600), Maydybura- Alina (57202252335)
project.funder.name ✰This paper is a part of project no. 2016/23/B/HS4/00731 of the National Science Centre of Poland.
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